The Great Con
The improbable Presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump lurches from one outrageous pratfall to another so quickly that it is all but impossible to keep up. The unfortunate result is that truly important questions get lost in all the hubbub before they can be dealt with properly. In the wake of Hillary Clinton’s stumble at the 9/11 ceremony in New York City and all the phony furor about her (quite justifiable) use of the word, “deplorable,” to describe the racism of many Trump supporters, we have lost sight of something far more deplorable than an all-advised choice of words by the Democratic candidate for President.
Trump’s campaign has, from the start, been fueled by fabrications, falsehoods, and cons, each more outlandish than the last. Mere hours before the distractions I just mentioned, Trump presented us with a con more colossal than anything he has thus far conjured up—one that has been all but ignored by the media.
In Philadelphia, where our Constitution was crafted more than 200 years ago, Trump delivered what was dubbed a “major address on national security.” It turned out to be a largely incoherent rant, during which he strove to characterize himself as a figure of steady judgment in a world of chaos, created by a “weak” Barack Obama and a “reckless” Hillary Clinton, whom he described as “trigger happy and unstable.” All this, from a man who thinks it would be a “great idea” if more countries around the world acquired nuclear weapons and can scarcely contain his thrill at any word of flattery that falls from the lips of Russia’s de facto dictator, Vladimir Putin.
Trump proposed a massive expansion in military spending, rattling off a bill of particulars that sounded like the Christmas wish list of the frustrated and disgruntled ex-generals and admirals who support him. He promised more divisions for the Army, more battalions for the Marines, more planes for the Air Force, more ships for the Navy—more of everything for everyone. To justify this extravagance, he claimed that our military has been “degraded” by President Obama and Hillary Clinton, whom he blamed for overseeing “deep cuts, which only invite more aggression from our adversaries.”
Trump neglected to mention that the budget cuts he derided were initiated, not by the President, let alone Hillary Clinton, but by the Republican majority that controls the Congress of the United States. In any event, he declared that he would pay for all this new military spending by:
- “Eliminating government waste and budget gimmicks.”
- Collecting unpaid taxes “estimated to be as high as $385 billion.”
- “Reducing the size of the federal bureaucracy.”
- Asking all NATO countries to “pay their bills.”
- Asking Germany, Japan, Korea, and Saudi Arabia to “pay more for the tremendous security we provide them.”
- “Unleashing” American energy production.
In deciphering this gibberish, it is difficult to know where or how to begin. Trump is so ignorant, or so deceptive, that it is all but impossible to disentangle each of his particular falsehoods. Indeed, that may be his plan, since the fundamental trick behind every con is distraction.
Let us, nonetheless, try to disambiguate this particular set of distractions.
First, Trump’s essential premise—that our armed forces have been “degraded”—is utter nonsense. Even after the sequestration imposed by Congress, the “defense” budget of the United States is by far the largest in the world, equal to the military spending of the next ten countries put together. We outspend the Chinese four to one, the Russians nine to one, and the United Kingdom—our closest ally—ten to one. We are the major arms dealer in the world, selling billions of dollars worth of military hardware to everyone from the Saudis to the Israelis.
Trump’s notion that a massive boost in military spending can be paid for by “eliminating government waste” is ludicrous on its face, because the major source of “government waste” is the military itself. No other department of government squanders so much money with so little oversight or accountability. The idea of giving still more money to such a fiscally irresponsible institution is simply nuts.
His suggestion that collecting unpaid taxes might somehow pay for more ships, planes, and tanks is equally ridiculous. The only institution capable of collecting those taxes, the IRS, has been gutted by a Republican Congress viscerally opposed to everything the IRS stands for. Unless Trump is proposing to hire more IRS agents—which is clearly not the case—exactly how does he expect these unpaid taxes to be collected?
Trump says that reducing the size of the “federal bureaucracy” will help to pay for his proposed largess to the military. The reality is that the number of civilian employees in the federal government is lower than it’s been in a generation. The “bureaucracy” he should be worrying about is that inside the Pentagon.
Trump says that he wants our NATO allies to “pay their bills.” He clearly has no comprehension of how NATO actually works—no surprise from a candidate who understands next to nothing about nearly everything. NATO countries have a target for defense spending that amounts to two percent of GDP, but that target is non-binding and therefore unenforceable. Some NATO members strive to meet it; others decide to take a pass (which is their prerogative); still others simply lack the resources. No President of the United States has any authority to change this situation, and it doesn’t matter in the end. Even if every NATO member were to spend two percent of GDP on defense, that wouldn’t reduce our military expenditures by so much as a penny.
Trump seems to think that we have troops and military bases in Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Saudi Arabia to accommodate the Germans, the Japanese, the South Koreans, and the Saudis. The truth is, we have bases in those countries to advance our interests—and those countries already subsidize our military presence heavily. In truth, several of them would be quite happy to do without the “tremendous security” Trump says we provide.
Trump’s final proposal—to pay for military expansion by “unleashing” domestic energy production—is a notion that has nothing whatever to do with military costs or energy needs, since we already have more domestic energy than we can possibly use. It is nothing but a handout to the fossil fuel industry, under the guise of national security.
Apart from the silliness of Donald Trump’s proposals and the falsehoods he uses to justify them, his proposals pose more fundamental dangers. American military power is a blade with two edges. When we overreach, which happens all too often, we do not make the world safer; we make it more perilous. Our disproportionate military power causes other nations, even our friends and allies, to distrust and fear our motives, creating resentment, civil unrest, and chaos. The Middle East is coming apart, not because we lack sufficient military power or have failed to use it, but rather because we used our power and used it badly. The last thing we need is still more of that power.
We should never forget Donald Rumsfeld’s infamous phrase, “shock and awe,” invoked to describe and justify the invasion of Iraq. That invasion did, indeed, produce “shock and awe,” but not the sort that was intended. To imagine that more military spending, more “shock and awe,” will somehow put the world right is the greatest and the worst of Donald Trump’s innumerable cons.
Twenty four hours ago, Hillary Clinton described what she estimated to be half of Donald Trump’s supporters as a “basket of deplorables,” because of their racism, sexism, and xenophobia. Donald Trump promptly attacked her—by Tweet, of course—for “insulting millions of amazing hardworking Americans.” She has since apologized.
On January 17, 1961, Dwight David Eisenhower delivered a farewell address to the nation after eight years in the White House. Before becoming President, Eisenhower had been the Supreme Commander of the Allied Forces in Europe, overseeing the invasion of Normandy and, ultimately, the defeat of Nazi Germany. He was, if not universally loved, almost universally respected, and he chose the occasion of his last address to the nation to deliver a warning regarding what he famously called the “military-industrial complex.” It is worth quoting his words at some length:
It was not my intention to discuss, yet again, the alternately bizarre and disturbing Presidential candidacy of Donald J. Trump. Having devoted more than a few words to this phenomenon, I had pledged to myself to let it rest a while and turn, instead, to more salubrious subjects. Alas, Trump makes this impossible. As each new day dawns, he surprises us with another bombshell.
Confronted with the plummeting poll numbers of its Presidential nominee, spurred in turn by a series of gaffs, insults, and threats outrageous even by Donald Trump’s elastic standards, the Republican Party has reached a point of no return. It is now abundantly clear that, whether Trump wins or loses in November, the consequences for the party will be equally disastrous.
In 1959, during the darkest days of the Cold War, a man named Richard Condon wrote a best-selling potboiler called The Manchurian Candidate. Its premise was that the offspring of one of our country’s most prominent political and social families, having been captured by the Communist Chinese during the Korean War, was brainwashed and sent back to the United States, programmed, as it were, to assassinate and replace the likely winner of a Presidential election. Condon’s idea was far-fetched, even in that paranoid era, but that did not prevent Hollywood from turning his book into a hit movie, not once but twice, proving yet again that a preposterous plot has never stopped the American public from buying movie tickets.
Melania Trump, the Donald’s third wife, was for a brief moment the star of the first night of the Republican national convention. After a raucous floor flight over the rules governing how delegates may vote (quickly suppressed by Trump and his new best friends, the Republican National Committee), after a series of speeches predictably vilifying Hillary Clinton, Occupy Wall Street demonstrators, and the Black Lives Matter movement, after a ludicrous and inflammatory harangue by Rudy Giuliani, who proclaimed that, if Donald Trump isn’t elected this November, there will never be a “next election,” after all such negative nonsense, Melania Trump delivered what was widely described as a positive and uplifting speech that both humanized her husband and ended an otherwise querulous night on an inspiring note. To make it all that much better, it was hinted (how accurately, we will never know) that she had been reluctant to speak in the first place, partly out of modesty, partly out of the natural nervousness of one who isn’t accustomed to addressing thousands of people in a public place. That she overcame these purported reservations made her success all the more remarkable.
When the Federal Bureau of Investigation concluded that “no reasonable prosecutor” would, should, or successfully could bring criminal charges against Hillary Clinton for her use of a private email server during her tenure as Secretary of State, Republicans in Congress threw a tantrum. Their first impulse was to impugn the integrity of the Director of the FBI, an awkward gambit since he is a lifelong Republican who, among other things, once worked for Kenneth Starr, the special prosecutor who tried for years to drag Bill Clinton down.
After more than two years, after squandering millions of taxpayer dollars, after running down every blind alley, after turning over every conceivable rock, the Special Committee of the House of Representatives formed to investigate the deaths of four American diplomats in Benghazi finally issued its report. It discovered next to nothing that hadn’t already been found by seven prior investigations and, to quote from the report itself, “no new evidence of culpability or wrongdoing by Hillary Clinton.” In short, this massive expenditure of time and money accomplished nothing—except to embarrass the committee’s Republican chairman and its Republican members.
The decision of the British, or more precisely, the English, people to leave the European Union—a decision propelled by a surge of nationalism and anti-immigrant rage—has stunned the world. Both the United Kingdom and the European Union are scrambling to come to grips with the consequences, global financial markets are reeling, and Britain’s Prime Minister, who staked the credibility of his government on this referendum, has announced his resignation. The First Minister of Scotland, on the other hand, has declared that the Scots may, for a second time in as many years, vote to break away, not from the EU, but from the UK itself. There is talk in Northern Ireland of doing the same, a prospect that, just 72 hours ago, would have seemed fantastical.